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NWS State College, PA Forecast Discussion

FXUS61 KCTP 060611

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
211 AM EDT Mon Apr 6 2020

A dry and mild Monday is in store, to be followed a mild but
wetter pattern for midweek. A cold front will cross the
commonwealth on Thursday, shocking us back to below normal
temperatures for the end of the week into next weekend.


Any lingering shower activity will pull east of central PA
overnight. Skies are clearing across NW PA, but the clouds will
take longer to clear farther to the south and east. Min temps
will range from the upper 20s in the NW mtns to the low to mid
40s SE of the mtns. Temps will be chasing the dewpoint down
overnight, as drier air advects in behind the departing front.


Any lingering morning clouds should burn away quickly with only
a shallow inversion. Monday has the possibility to be a day
where dewpoints drop quickly, with very (very) dry air just
above the inversion in the morning. The dryness would be most
profound on the higher elevations. The dry airmass and
downsloping flow should help the SE get into the m60s. The NWrly
winds shouldn`t be more than 10 MPH. Enjoy!


Unsettled weather is in store for the long term forecast
period, with multiple rounds of showers and a wide range in
temperatures expected.

A warm front south of PA on Tuesday may lead to a few showers
across the southern tier. POPs will increase across all of
central PA Tuesday night, as the warm front lifts north and low
pressure approaches from the northwest. Widespread showers will
persist into Wednesday, and there may be enough instability for
a few rumbles of thunder across the south as well.

There will be a brief period of dry weather late Wednesday, then
a strong cold front will sweep across the region Thursday
bringing another period of showers, perhaps some thunder, and a
significant drop in temperatures. After a mild Monday, Tuesday
and Wednesday, Thursday will be a day of transition, with highs
ranging from the 40s across the north to the 60s in the
southeast. The true chilly air will take hold Friday and
Saturday when high temperatures will be 5-15 degrees below
normal. A few rain or snow showers are possible across the
northwest during this time.


Low cigs over the southwest airspace will trend VFR as northerly
winds continue to bring drier air into the airspace. Expect
widespread VFR flying today into tonight with increasing high to
mid clouds late. Anticipate lower trending cigs on Tuesday with
widespread MVFR to IFR possible by Tuesday night. Showers and
maybe a few storms are likely across parts of the southwest and
south central airspace late tonight into Tuesday morning.


Wed...Showers likely early. Low cigs possible.

Thurs...Widespread showers/isold T`storm poss. CFROPA. Gusty

Fri...Low cigs/showers likely NW 1/2. Gusty winds subside by
Friday night.




NEAR TERM...Evanego
SHORT TERM...Dangelo/Evanego
LONG TERM...Evanego/Travis

NWS CTP Office Area Forecast Discussion

Courtesy of the National Weather Service forecast office State College, Pennsylvania

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